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Does Shell have a secret growth business in the US?


Philip Whiterow16 November 2016

Shell PLC (LON:RDSB) may be sitting on an undiscovered jewel with its onshore acreage in the US according to analysts at Deutsche Bank.

The German broker notes that prospects in the US Permian Basin are now changing hands for up to US$45 per acre, which puts a value of US$10bn on its 2bn barrel Delaware position.

That is three times Deutsche’s previous estimate, but rather than suggesting others in the industry were overpaying, as it had been, the broker concedes it may have missed a trick on the potential within Shell’s US tight oil assets.

“Potential production of over 250kboe/d by 2025 shows it to present a new and hitherto unseen future growth leg.

“Added to Shell’s well documented investment potential in the US GoM [Gulf of Mexico] and Brazil we now see US$70bn of fifteen year cash recycling opportunity with average weighted returns comfortably over 20%.”

Buy is Deutsche’s view with a 2,220p price target. Shares today were 2,068p.


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