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Posts on ‘November 22nd, 2015’

Questor delivers a damning verdict of the proposed Shell BG merger

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An Opec meeting on December 5 could send oil price even lower and sound the ‘death knell’ for the deal.

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‘If oil prices remain at these deeply depressed levels, then it could bring nothing but disaster. The famous Shell dividend could be cut, investors will be diluted and the shares would become a riskier prospect,’ writes John Ficenec in the Sunday Telegraph

He argues that while the deal makes sense on paper – as it bolsters Shell’s prospects in the dash for gas – the success rests on one factor ‘price’. 

The price here is not right, says Questor, and there is a risk that Shell is overpaying at £47 billion. 

Shell will fund the deal with 30 per cent cash and 70 per cent new Shell shares – that means selling some $30 billion (£19 billion) of assets during the three years from 2016 and a £25 billion share buy-back from 2017 to reverse dilution effects.  read more

royaldutchshellplc.com and its sister websites royaldutchshellgroup.com, shellnazihistory.com, royaldutchshell.website, johndonovan.website, shellnews.net, shell2004.com, shellshareholders.org, don-marketing.com and cybergriping.com are all owned by John Donovan. There is also a Wikipedia article: royaldutchshellplc.com

Questor share tip: Shell should walk away from BG

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The FTSE 100 oil major has endured a turbulent year after announcing its offer for rival BG, says Questor.

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By John Ficenec, Questor Editor: 22 Nov 2015

SHELL’S [LON:RDSB] deal to buy gas group BG makes perfect sense on paper. But if oil prices remain at these deeply depressed levels, then it could bring nothing but disaster.

The famous Shell dividend could be cut, investors will be diluted and the shares would become a riskier prospect.

Deal logic

Shell is suffering from declining reserves and some well publicised exploration failures such as in Alaska. BG has had its problems, but is just about to greatly increase production at one of the largest natural gas fields in the world off the coast of Brazil. There is a dash for gas around the world as governments increasingly shun coal-fired power stations.

In one fell swoop Shell can use its cash and balance sheet strength to return its dwindling reserves to growth, and underpin its dividend payments for the foreseeable future. read more

royaldutchshellplc.com and its sister websites royaldutchshellgroup.com, shellnazihistory.com, royaldutchshell.website, johndonovan.website, shellnews.net, shell2004.com, shellshareholders.org, don-marketing.com and cybergriping.com are all owned by John Donovan. There is also a Wikipedia article: royaldutchshellplc.com
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