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Royal Dutch Shell: Prepare For Strong Upside

Dec. 29, 2016 3:08 AM ET

Summary

  • Royal Dutch Shell will report strong growth in the cash flow in the long run as it brings online low-cost production with cash operating costs of just $15/barrel.
  • In a $60 oil price environment, Shell’s free cash flow is expected to grow to $25 billion in 2020 as compared to $12 billion at a price of $90/barrel earlier.
  • Due to the growth in the free cash flow and low capital expenses as more projects come online, Shell’s operating cash flow will grow to $50 billion in 2020.
  • At an operating cash flow of $50 billion and a price to cash flow ratio of 15, Shell’s market capitalization is set to triple in the coming four years.

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